Team Cy Young will be ... Jacob deGrom
More on this in a second, but when healthy, he’s the best pitcher in the world. deGrom has only made nine starts since signing a five-year, $185 million deal with the Rangers entering the 2023 season, but over that time, he’s got a 2.41 ERA in 41 innings.
That’ll play, even if he only starts 20 games.
Bold prediction: Jacob deGrom will win the AL Cy Young Award
It’s not that bold of a prediction. So much so that I already predicted it here. When healthy, the 36-year-old is and can be the best pitcher in the world. That part isn’t the bold prediction.
deGrom hasn’t eclipsed 92 innings since his NL Cy Young Award-winning 2019 season. He’s again now fresh off of his recovery from Tommy John surgery, and he looked like himself in 10 2/3 September innings in 2024 (1.69 ERA). He won’t throw 200 innings, and he likely won’t make 30 starts -- though it is a goal of his -- but there’s still an avenue to another Cy Young Award.
In 2021, when deGrom finished ninth in NL Cy Young Award voting, Corbin Burnes won the award with just 167 innings -- the fewest of any of the top eight vote-getters. Despite that, his rate stats were higher than second-place Zack Wheeler and third-place Max Scherzer.
That’s deGrom’s entire MO, even when he was making 30 starts consistently. Anything is possible if he avoids extended stays on the injured list.